John A. Leahy January 4 2025
2025 seems sure to be an exciting year for the application of Artificital Intelligence (AI). It seems to be moving very fast now. If we take a longer view of how we have been implementing technology it is moving VERY fast now. Of course, the advance of tools and technology has a long history. If we consider that mankind made basic tools from stones around 2.6 million years ago. Technology advancements campe slowlyfor example to make fire (about 300,000 years ago), rope (about 20,000 years ago).
| Stone Tools | 2.6 Millon years ago |
| Make Fire | 300,000 years ago |
|
Rope |
20,000 years ago |
| Agriculture | 15,000 years ago |
| Wheel | 7,150 years ago |
| Weaving | 5,500 years ago |
| Printing Press | 550 years ago (1450) |
| Telephone | 150 years ago (1876) |
| Internet | 1960s |
| Personal Computer | 1973 |
The development of AI tools has followed a similar accelerating curve of devopment. It feels like everything is happening everywhere all at once.
|
Prolog developed used for logic programming and AI applications. In 1979 The Stanford Cart successfully navigated a room full of obstacles, a precursor to autonomous vehicles.
|
1970s |
|
AI Winter - interest in AI and funding wanes. |
1980s |
| IBM's Deep Blue Defeats Chess Grand Master Garry Kasporov. | 1990s |
|
Roomba, the autonomous vacuum cleaner. Stanford’s Stanley wins the DARPA Grand Challenge, completing a 132-mile autonomous vehicle race through the desert. |
2000s |
|
IBM’s Watson wins Jeopardy! Google’s DeepMind introduces AlphaGo, which later defeats world champions in the complex board game Go. |
2010s |
|
OpenAI intrduced GPT-3 |
2020 |
|
Public release of ApenAI's ChatGPT |
2022 |
The table above demonstrates that technology is moving faster and faster all the time. Many people have been expressing great concern that AI is moving so fast now that it is going to pass us. That the AI we create in the coming years will be frustrated with humans because we are so slow!